Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.274354 0.301099 0.328387 0.358259 0.389985 0.422624 0.458685
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.248778 0.287439 0.328252 0.374368 0.424844 0.478238 0.538810
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.224043 0.271017 0.322115 0.381440 0.448031 0.520094 0.603594
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.207149 0.261076 0.321309 0.392896 0.474980 0.565504 0.672219
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.189338 0.248208 0.315632 0.397528 0.493271 0.600664 0.729211
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.173131 0.235687 0.309054 0.399987 0.508199 0.631444 0.780979
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.157604 0.222645 0.300705 0.399339 0.518684 0.656544 0.825899
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.145794 0.213219 0.295887 0.402188 0.532745 0.685453 0.875100
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.139037 0.209616 0.297770 0.412841 0.555962 0.725127 0.937113
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.129284 0.201364 0.293181 0.414929 0.568340 0.751618 0.983399
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.121295 0.194869 0.290345 0.418805 0.582622 0.780247 1.032240
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.118290 0.194897 0.295807 0.433165 0.609991 0.824941 1.100787
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.110026 0.187422 0.291387 0.435045 0.622229 0.851979 1.149209
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.102862 0.181035 0.288059 0.438084 0.635810 0.880708 1.199927
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.094894 0.172932 0.281940 0.437049 0.643894 0.902467 1.242090
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.090344 0.169594 0.282182 0.444390 0.662807 0.937912 1.301489
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.084471 0.163831 0.278675 0.446366 0.674508 0.964168 1.349478
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.078738 0.157883 0.274570 0.447240 0.684562 0.988244 1.394771
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.072719 0.151048 0.268811 0.445496 0.690882 1.007387 1.433797
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.068301 0.146510 0.266184 0.447961 0.702753 1.033687 1.482025
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.066425 0.146086 0.269644 0.459084 0.726466 1.075569 1.550491
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.062413 0.141736 0.266917 0.461120 0.737618 1.100976 1.597842
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.059152 0.138464 0.265665 0.465169 0.751484 1.129979 1.649967